AI 2040: Plan A
2 hours ago
- #Existential Risk
- #Policy Scenarios
- #AI Governance
- AI companies are racing to develop AI smarter than humans, risking extinction or irreversible power concentration.
- Plan A proposes delaying superintelligence until 2040, making AI research public, and fostering global collaboration to avoid a dangerous race.
- The plan emphasizes research transparency, international agreements, and slow, safe scaling towards superintelligence across multiple companies and countries.
- Current AI development lacks adequate plans for control, potentially leading to human extinction or global dictatorship if unchecked.
- The scenario includes a timeline: US-China deal in 2029, pause at human-expert level AI by 2035, and superintelligence by 2040.
- Policy recommendations stress the need for scenario scrutiny and early negotiations to mitigate risks from AI-driven power concentration.
- AI is disrupting white-collar jobs, with AI companies industrializing training processes and accelerating automation across professions.
- Political and public concern is growing, leading to legislative actions like the AI Transparency Act of 2027, but more ambitious measures are needed.