Big Tech is borrowing like never before
6 hours ago
- #bond market
- #Big Tech
- #AI financing
- Big Tech's AI expansion is shifting from using cash flow to relying on bond markets, with companies like Nvidia issuing large debt despite strong balance sheets.
- AI-linked global debt issuance is projected to grow significantly, reaching nearly $570 billion by 2026, as major tech firms finance costly data center builds.
- Companies such as Meta, Oracle, Alphabet, and Amazon are tapping bond markets, indicating a move away from cash-rich models toward leverage for AI capacity.
- Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting adopted a hawkish tone, reducing forward guidance and keeping rates steady, which could increase borrowing costs for AI projects.
- Higher Treasury yields and potential rate hikes make AI financing more expensive, challenging the assumption of cheap money that supported many spending plans.
- A circular dependency exists: cloud companies borrow for data centers, buy Nvidia chips, and Nvidia raises its own debt, creating a cycle vulnerable to delays or slower growth.
- Investors must now consider credit spreads, refinancing risks, and central bank policies, as AI debt issuance grows and equity risk profiles change with increased leverage.