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Remote work, not AI, has sidelined recent college graduates, research finds

4 hours ago
  • #youth-unemployment
  • #remote-work
  • #job-market-trends
  • Remote work, not AI, is identified as the primary factor reducing hiring of recent college graduates, based on research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Unemployment among young college graduates (under 29) increased by 20% post-pandemic, while it slightly decreased for older graduates, correlated with a fourfold rise in remote work.
  • Feedback for software engineers dropped significantly after the pandemic, especially affecting younger workers who rely more on mentorship, leading companies to hire older, more experienced employees for remote roles.
  • A return-to-office policy at a Fortune 500 tech company reversed the trend, resuming the hiring of new graduates, highlighting the link between remote work and mentorship challenges.
  • Analysis of broader occupational data shows unemployment gaps between recent and older graduates were larger in 'remotable' jobs compared to in-person roles, with remote work explaining nearly two-thirds of the rise in youth unemployment.
  • AI exposure did not significantly explain the unemployment divergence among young graduates in the 2022-24 period, though this could change in the future as generative AI evolves.
  • High unemployment early in careers can lead to lasting negative impacts, including lower earnings and slower career progression, emphasizing the concern over current trends.