How to cheat at settlers by loading the dice (2017)

a year ago

Method to load dice by submerging in water to make them biased towards rolling 6s.
Experimental results from 4310 dice rolls show a higher probability of rolling a 6 (0.196) compared to other numbers.
Strategy for Settlers of Catan involves placing settlements on numbers more likely to be rolled with biased dice, gaining 5-15 extra resource cards per game.
Statistical analysis using p-values confirms the dice are biased but shows opponents can't prove cheating within a single game due to insufficient data.
Critique of p-value significance testing highlights flaws like ignoring prior evidence and high false positive rates, suggesting alternatives like Bayes factors.
Peer review catches a minor data discrepancy, illustrating the importance of transparency and checks in scientific work.

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