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CNN: 'Russia is losing in Ukraine. China has noticed – Trump should too'

17 hours ago
  • #Diplomacy
  • #Ukraine-Russia War
  • #Military Strategy
  • Brett McGurk, a former senior national security official under four U.S. presidents, analyzes global affairs for CNN.
  • Chinese President Xi Jinping reportedly suggested to Donald Trump that Vladimir Putin may regret invading Ukraine, a view supported by current battlefield trends.
  • Ukraine has achieved net territorial gains in 2026, while Russia suffers massive casualties—estimated at 30,000-40,000 per month—without corresponding territorial advances.
  • Internal Russian pressures are growing, with parliamentary warnings about the economy's ability to sustain prolonged war and Putin hinting the conflict could be ending.
  • Ukraine is reshaping warfare through mass-produced drones, creating a 'kill zone' along the front lines and striking deep into Russia, including near Moscow.
  • Ukrainian drone attacks force Russia to divert resources to homeland defense, expanding the battlespace and raising costs without battlefield gains.
  • Putin's initial war aims—subjugating Ukraine, weakening NATO, and restoring Russian dominance—are increasingly unattainable, as NATO has expanded and strengthened.
  • Xi Jinping is observing the Ukraine war for lessons on Taiwan, with China's military untested and Ukraine demonstrating the difficulty of rapid political collapse.
  • The U.S. can reinforce Xi's caution by bolstering NATO and support for Ukraine, showing coordinated responses to aggression.
  • Trump's diplomatic opportunity lies in recognizing Russia's vulnerability, not assuming Ukrainian weakness, to broker a settlement acceptable to Ukraine and Washington.