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So why *did* U.S. wages stagnate for 20 years?

a year ago
  • #wage stagnation
  • #productivity
  • #globalization
  • U.S. wage stagnation occurred from 1973 to 1994, predating globalization.
  • NAFTA (1994) and the China Shock (post-2001) had mixed impacts on wages, with some stagnation in the 2000s.
  • Productivity slowdown from the 1970s to mid-1990s aligns with wage stagnation, possibly linked to energy scarcity.
  • Financialization and union decline don't fully explain the 20-year stagnation, as their trends don't match the timeline.
  • Inflation in the 1970s and 1980s contributed to real wage stagnation, but nominal wages remained stable.
  • Trade with Europe and Japan doesn't align well with the wage stagnation period.
  • The entry of women into the workforce doesn't explain the stagnation, as their participation had been rising steadily before 1973.