Why the U.S. cattle herd is at a 75-year low
4 hours ago
- #Beef Prices
- #Agriculture Economics
- #US Cattle Industry
- The U.S. cattle herd is at a 75-year low due to factors like rising costs, drought, international competition, and industry consolidation.
- High cattle prices encourage selling livestock but discourage herd rebuilding, reducing overall domestic supply.
- Beef production remains steady despite fewer cattle because modern cattle are larger and heavier.
- Farmers face increased expenses for fuel, equipment, fertilizer, and loans, with high interest rates adding risk.
- Cattle operations have declined by about 17% from 2017 to 2022, with an aging farmer population and high barriers to entry.
- Climate change intensifies droughts and wildfires, reducing farm earnings and increasing financial losses.
- The New World screwworm threat near the U.S.-Mexico border led to import restrictions, boosting demand for U.S. cattle.
- Consolidation among four major meatpacking companies reduces ranchers' profits while retail beef prices rise.
- The U.S. imports record amounts of beef, potentially further shrinking the domestic cattle industry.
- Producers are selling directly to consumers to bypass middlemen, and herd rebuilding is slow due to cattle's long growth cycle.