Hasty Briefsbeta

The Futzing Fraction

9 days ago
  • #Productivity
  • #ROI
  • #Generative AI
  • Generative AI is envisioned to reduce tedious tasks in knowledge work, but using it can be tedious itself.
  • Evaluating the ROI of generative AI involves considering costs like time spent checking outputs and re-prompting.
  • The 'Futzing Fraction' is introduced as a framework to measure the cost-effectiveness of generative AI, comparing time saved versus time wasted.
  • Human oversight is crucial when using generative AI to prevent errors and ensure outputs are correct and useful.
  • Generative AI can disrupt mentorship by providing incorrect information to junior employees, leading to wasted time and confusion.
  • Cognitive biases can lead to overestimating the effectiveness of generative AI, similar to gambling mechanics.
  • The accuracy of generative AI is often overestimated, and real-world performance may require multiple prompts to achieve usable results.
  • Long-term use of generative AI may lead to skill atrophy among employees and increased workload for senior staff.
  • A comprehensive measurement program is needed to evaluate the true impact of generative AI on productivity and costs.