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Good News: AI Will Eat Application Software

13 hours ago
  • #AI
  • #Software Industry
  • #Competitive Advantage
  • The software industry is experiencing a downturn, with ETFs for public software companies falling by 30% since early 2026.
  • AI is seen as a threat to the software industry, but the article argues it will actually benefit the sector in the long run.
  • The value of software companies lies not in their code but in their competitive advantages like network effects, brand, and process power.
  • AI may reduce switching costs but will also enhance network effects and make high-quality data more valuable.
  • Brand remains a strong moat, especially for business-critical functions where reliability is key.
  • Process power, or the deep integration of software into organizational workflows, becomes more important with AI.
  • Counterpositioning allows new entrants to challenge incumbents with innovative business models, like value-based pricing.
  • AI will expand the software market, enabling companies to serve more customers and automate complex workflows.
  • The software industry will split into two: vulnerable companies with thin value propositions and those delivering genuine value.
  • Overall, AI will lead to a larger, more valuable software industry, despite some individual companies facing challenges.