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Don't Look at Stock Markets. Look at the Ports

a year ago
  • #economy
  • #supply-chain
  • #tariffs
  • Stock markets plunged after Trump announced steep tariffs, with a partial suspension easing the sell-off.
  • The Port of Los Angeles reports a significant drop in maritime traffic due to high tariffs on China.
  • Trump's erratic tariff policies are disrupting the economy and global supply chains.
  • Supply-chain disruptions from tariffs may take 9-12 months to resolve, even if policies change.
  • The Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach handle 31% of U.S. container imports/exports, with cargo arrivals expected to drop 35%.
  • Cancellations of cargo ship voyages are increasing, with full tariff effects yet to be seen.
  • Unlike predictable shocks (e.g., pandemics), Trump's trade war is indefinite and unpredictable, damaging global confidence.
  • Tariffs risk atrophying the logistics system, leading to job losses and economic slowdowns.
  • The trucking industry is slowing due to reduced cargo, impacting businesses and inventory.
  • Financial markets may not yet fully reflect the economic damage from Trump's tariff war.