Don't Look at Stock Markets. Look at the Ports
a year ago
- #economy
- #supply-chain
- #tariffs
- Stock markets plunged after Trump announced steep tariffs, with a partial suspension easing the sell-off.
- The Port of Los Angeles reports a significant drop in maritime traffic due to high tariffs on China.
- Trump's erratic tariff policies are disrupting the economy and global supply chains.
- Supply-chain disruptions from tariffs may take 9-12 months to resolve, even if policies change.
- The Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach handle 31% of U.S. container imports/exports, with cargo arrivals expected to drop 35%.
- Cancellations of cargo ship voyages are increasing, with full tariff effects yet to be seen.
- Unlike predictable shocks (e.g., pandemics), Trump's trade war is indefinite and unpredictable, damaging global confidence.
- Tariffs risk atrophying the logistics system, leading to job losses and economic slowdowns.
- The trucking industry is slowing due to reduced cargo, impacting businesses and inventory.
- Financial markets may not yet fully reflect the economic damage from Trump's tariff war.