Hasty Briefsbeta

The wall confronting large language models

7 days ago
  • #Scaling Laws
  • #Large Language Models
  • #Artificial Intelligence
  • Scaling laws limit large language models' (LLMs) ability to improve prediction uncertainty.
  • Raising LLM reliability to scientific standards is intractable due to inherent limitations.
  • LLMs' learning power comes from generating non-Gaussian outputs from Gaussian inputs, which may cause error pileup and degenerative AI behavior.
  • The tension between learning and accuracy contributes to low scaling component values.
  • Spurious correlations in large datasets exacerbate the problem, as identified by Calude and Longo.
  • Avoiding degenerative AI pathways requires prioritizing insight and understanding of problem structures.