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Three years left to limit warming to 1.5C, leading scientists warn

a year ago
  • #global warming
  • #carbon emissions
  • #climate change
  • The Earth could breach the 1.5C warming limit in as little as three years at current CO2 emission levels.
  • Nearly 200 countries agreed in 2015 to limit global temperature rises to 1.5C to avoid the worst impacts of climate change.
  • Continued burning of fossil fuels and deforestation have put the 1.5C goal in peril.
  • The 'carbon budget' for a 50% chance of staying below 1.5C has shrunk to 130 billion tonnes by 2025.
  • Current CO2 emissions of about 40 billion tonnes per year could exhaust the carbon budget in roughly three years.
  • Human-caused warming reached 1.36C above pre-industrial levels in 2023, with a current warming rate of 0.27C per decade.
  • The planet is on track to reach 1.5C of warming by around 2030 if emissions remain high.
  • The rate of heating in the Earth's climate system has more than doubled since the 1970s and 1980s.
  • About 90% of excess heat is absorbed by oceans, leading to higher sea levels and disruption to marine life.
  • The rate of global sea-level rise has doubled since the 1990s, increasing flooding risks for coastal populations.
  • Rapid and stringent emissions cuts are crucial to mitigate further warming and its impacts.
  • Every fraction of warming avoided reduces harm, particularly for vulnerable populations.