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Renewable energy unambiguously reduces UK wholesale power prices

15 hours ago
  • #renewable-energy
  • #electricity-prices
  • #UK-energy
  • Renewables (wind and solar) reduce wholesale electricity prices in the UK.
  • Analysis of 220 days (Jan-Aug 2025) shows higher renewables share correlates with lower prices.
  • A 50% renewables share led to a £73/MWh price, £55 lower than a 20% share.
  • Linear regression suggests a 40% price decline with higher renewables, though not perfectly linear.
  • Seasonal variations (winter vs. summer) were considered, but renewables still lowered prices monthly.
  • January saw the largest price drop (£87/MWh) with increased renewables (20% to 50%).
  • Day-ahead prices (20% of wholesale transactions) were used for the analysis.
  • The trend holds across months, with May and July showing drops of £58 and £64/MWh.
  • Continued renewables expansion is expected to further reduce UK power prices.