Prediction of incident heart failure in established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: the SMART2-HF model - PubMed
14 hours ago
- #heart failure
- #cardiovascular disease
- #risk prediction
- The SMART2-HF model predicts incident heart failure (HF) in patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).
- Developed in 7,698 ASCVD patients without prior HF from the UCC-SMART cohort, it estimates 10-year and lifetime HF risk.
- External validation involved 240,741 patients from six sources, showing consistent performance (C-statistic: 0.696).
- The model uses routine clinical characteristics and aligns with the SMART2 risk model for recurrent cardiovascular risk.
- Predicted risks matched observed HF incidence in external validation, supporting its use as a complementary tool.