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Assessment of Ten Insulin Resistance Surrogate Indexes Predicts New-Onset Cardiovascular Disease Incidence in Patients with Prediabetes or Diabetes: Insights from CHARLS Data with Machine Learning Ana

5 hours ago
  • #Insulin Resistance
  • #Machine Learning
  • #Cardiovascular Disease
  • Study evaluates ten insulin resistance (IR) surrogate indexes for predicting new-onset cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Chinese patients with prediabetes or diabetes.
  • Longitudinal analysis of 3,532 participants from CHARLS data, with 24.7% developing CVD during follow-up.
  • eGDR (estimated glucose disposal rate) associated with reduced CVD risk, while CVAI (Chinese visceral adiposity index) linked to increased risk.
  • Highest eGDR quartile showed 47.3% lower CVD risk; highest CVAI quartile had 33.1% higher risk.
  • Machine learning models, especially KNN, improved CVD prediction when incorporating eGDR and CVAI (AUC = 0.936).
  • eGDR and CVAI identified as the most effective IR indexes for CVD risk stratification in this population.