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What would happen if USA started faking its economic data? Lessons from others

6 days ago
  • #Global Economy
  • #US Politics
  • #Economic Data
  • President Trump fired the head of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) after disappointing jobs data, raising concerns about potential data manipulation.
  • Historical examples like Greece and Argentina show the severe consequences of falsifying economic data, including investor distrust and economic crises.
  • The US economy's size and global dominance differentiate it from Greece and Argentina, but concerns remain about data credibility under political pressure.
  • Economists emphasize the importance of credible government data, with the BLS traditionally seen as a gold standard for economic statistics.
  • Large revisions in BLS data have raised questions about structural issues in data collection and modeling, independent of political interference.
  • Budget cuts at the BLS may further delay or reduce the accuracy of economic data releases.
  • The US has multiple data sources, including the Census Bureau and Bureau of Economic Analysis, which help provide a comprehensive economic picture.