2 days ago
- AI progresses through fields from easy-to-audit to hard-to-audit, with art and code snippets being automated first.
- Fields like accounting and contract law require meticulous human auditing, delaying full automation until AI is superhuman.
- Predictions for near-term automation: audiobook narration, cafe music, call centers, non-artistic translation, podcast editing, simple local journalism, and therapy.
- Anti-predictions (hard to audit): finance, law, and deep software work will remain human-dominated, using AI as copilots.
- The auditability heuristic—cost of AI plus cost of checking AI—determines the order of automation.