- The 2024 election is not expected to be as close as 2016 or 2020, despite tight polls, making a decisive victory for either candidate more likely.
- Exit polls should be ignored because most voters now cast ballots before Election Day, and focusing on complete county-level tallies is more reliable.
- Key bellwether counties to watch include Nash County (NC), Cobb and Baldwin Counties (GA), and Saginaw County (MI) for early trends on voter turnout and preferences.