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Trump is super unpopular. So why don't Democrats have a bigger lead?

5 hours ago
  • #Sports Analytics
  • #Midterm Elections
  • #Polling Data
  • Democrats lead by 5.7 points on the generic ballot despite Trump's disapproval, which is less than the 7.6-point lead at this time in the 2018 midterms.
  • Trump's approval rating has hit a new low of 39.3% in his second term, making him the second most unpopular president in recent midterm cycles after George W. Bush in 2006.
  • Two new models are in development: PELE, a soccer rating system for World Cup projections launching in early-mid May, and a midterms model expected in June or July.
  • Posting volume may decrease slightly leading up to Memorial Day as work on the models intensifies, with increased activity planned from June through November.
  • The article also covers a segment on the game theory behind baseball's automated strike zone, reflecting its 'cerebral' and analytical theme.