Deaths are projected to exceed births in 2031
5 hours ago
- #population-growth
- #demographics
- #immigration
- CBO projects U.S. population to grow from 350 million in 2025 to 367 million in 2055, slower than previous estimates.
- Lower net immigration (2025–2033) and fertility rates (2025–2055) contribute to reduced population growth.
- Administrative actions and the 2025 reconciliation act decreased projected immigration numbers.
- Population in 2035 is 4.5 million smaller (1.2%) and 5.4 million smaller (1.5%) in 2055 compared to January projections.
- Fewer people aged 25–54 (prime labor force age) than previously projected.
- Deaths to exceed births in 2031, two years earlier than prior estimates.
- Projections are uncertain; future legislative or policy changes could significantly alter outcomes.