Why Sam Altman Won't Be on the Hook for OpenAI's Spending Spree
14 days ago
- #Sam Altman
- #AI Compute
- #OpenAI
- OpenAI has committed to spending $1.4 trillion on datacenters, despite projected annual revenue of only $20 billion.
- OpenAI's CFO suggested the government could act as a 'backstop' for commitments, but later retracted the statement.
- Sam Altman stated that if OpenAI fails, the market—not the government—should deal with the fallout.
- To meet its commitments, OpenAI's revenue would need to grow to $577 billion by 2029, a 2900% increase from current projections.
- Experts suggest OpenAI may only utilize a portion of the compute it has booked, leading to renegotiations with partners like Oracle and Microsoft.
- Contracts often include performance milestones and can be terminated 'for cause,' providing flexibility for OpenAI.
- Altman has no financial stake in OpenAI, reducing his personal risk if the company fails.
- OpenAI's deals have boosted the market caps of partners like Oracle, Nvidia, and Amazon by billions.
- In a worst-case scenario, Microsoft, as OpenAI's largest equity holder, would likely be paid first in a bankruptcy.
- Altman is focused on securing enough compute to train better AI models, viewing this as more critical than financial risks.