GenAI Predictions

9 hours ago

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GenAI's future predictions are risky but aim to entertain.
Hallucinations in LLMs are unlikely to be fixed due to inherent training practices and lack of solutions despite extensive efforts.
Mass layoffs from GenAI replacing knowledge workers are unlikely due to quality and productivity issues.
GenAI's financial model is unsustainable, with a bubble likely to burst by 2026.
The economy won't collapse from a GenAI bubble burst, though investors may suffer.
Software profession will change with GenAI-generated code becoming routine, especially for application logic and SQL, but not for low-level infrastructure or interaction design.
GenAI is criticized for being promoted by grifters and for its environmental and ethical costs.
Post-bubble, the envisioned GenAI-dominated world is unlikely to materialize.

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