'Unauthorized' Edit to Ukraine's Frontline Maps Point to Polymarket War Betting
10 days ago
- #Ukraine-War
- #Conflict-Mapping
- #Prediction-Markets
- A live map tracking Ukraine war frontlines was falsely edited to show a Russian advance on Myrnohrad, coinciding with a Polymarket bet resolution.
- Polymarket uses the ISW's live Ukraine war map to resolve bets, including a $1M+ volume bet on Russia capturing Myrnohrad.
- An unauthorized edit on ISW's map temporarily showed Russian control of Myrnohrad before the bet resolved, then reverted.
- ISW condemned the use of its maps for gambling, stating it undermines their mission to provide objective conflict assessments.
- Polymarket hosts numerous bets on war outcomes, creating perverse incentives for manipulation, with millions traded on battles.