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Performance of cardiovascular disease risk prediction tools in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease - PubMed

4 hours ago
  • #Cardiovascular Disease Risk
  • #Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease
  • #Risk Prediction Tools
  • QRISK3 underestimates CVD risk in COPD, raising concerns about similar tools.
  • PREVENT shows the highest discrimination (0.76), while Pooled and Framingham scores lower (0.66 and 0.57).
  • PREVENT underestimates risk (O/E 1.25), while Pooled and Framingham overestimate by about 30%.
  • Discrepancies vary by age and sex, with PREVENT underestimating more in younger adults and Pooled overestimating in older adults.
  • All three models retain clinical utility across risk thresholds and could improve with further calibration.