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Why the U.S. cattle herd is at a 75-year low

3 hours ago
  • #Beef Prices
  • #Agriculture Economics
  • #US Cattle Industry
  • The U.S. cattle herd is at a 75-year low due to factors like rising costs, drought, international competition, and industry consolidation.
  • High cattle prices encourage selling livestock but discourage herd rebuilding, reducing overall domestic supply.
  • Beef production remains steady despite fewer cattle because modern cattle are larger and heavier.
  • Farmers face increased expenses for fuel, equipment, fertilizer, and loans, with high interest rates adding risk.
  • Cattle operations have declined by about 17% from 2017 to 2022, with an aging farmer population and high barriers to entry.
  • Climate change intensifies droughts and wildfires, reducing farm earnings and increasing financial losses.
  • The New World screwworm threat near the U.S.-Mexico border led to import restrictions, boosting demand for U.S. cattle.
  • Consolidation among four major meatpacking companies reduces ranchers' profits while retail beef prices rise.
  • The U.S. imports record amounts of beef, potentially further shrinking the domestic cattle industry.
  • Producers are selling directly to consumers to bypass middlemen, and herd rebuilding is slow due to cattle's long growth cycle.