Hasty Briefsbeta

Statistical tests are complicated because their inventors didn't have computers

11 days ago
  • #Monte Carlo
  • #statistics
  • #hypothesis testing
  • Statistical tests are complex due to historical lack of fast computers.
  • Monte Carlo simulation can simplify hypothesis testing by brute-forcing p-values.
  • Classical tests like Student’s t-test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test have complicated assumptions and formulas.
  • A statistical test requires a null hypothesis, a measurable quantity, and a concrete simulation of the null.
  • Example: Computational Student’s t-test compares sheep heights between Wales and New Zealand via simulation.
  • Computational power simplifies statistical testing, aligning with the 'bitter lesson' in AI and statistics.
  • Chernoff-Hoeffding bounds can convert approximate p-values from simulations into exact ones.