Programming Deflation

5 hours ago

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Augmented coding is reducing the cost, skill barriers, and time needed for software development.
Two economic theories predict different outcomes: substitution effect (fewer programmers) vs. Jevons’ paradox (more programmers).
Programming deflation is driven by productivity gains, not economic weakness, leading to unique paradoxes.
Cheaper tools may accelerate innovation, making every small business a software company and every individual a developer.
In a world of abundant cheap code, scarcity shifts to understanding, judgment, and system integration.
Focus on skills like judgment and integration to thrive regardless of future scenarios.
Embrace cheap tools for simple tasks but save energy for complex problems and system thinking.

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