The Pivot
2 days ago
- #geopolitics
- #energy transition
- #climate change
- The author reflects on their 61st birthday and the dystopian state of the world, comparing it to 1970s sci-fi novels.
- Discusses the ongoing global crises: climate change, pandemics, political upheavals, and the rise of fascism.
- Highlights the civilizational energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables, emphasizing its irreversible nature.
- Explores historical energy transitions, from muscle power to coal and oil, and the geopolitical consequences.
- Details the rapid advancement and affordability of solar power, with China leading the charge in PV panel production.
- Examines the geopolitical shifts due to renewable energy, including Europe's move away from Russian gas.
- Addresses the challenges of electrifying transport, including aviation and shipping, and the obsolescence of fossil fuel shipping.
- Predicts the decline of fossil fuel industries and the rise of distributed energy production.
- Discusses the agricultural impacts of climate change, including crop failures and the need for adaptive farming.
- Critiques the current economic and political systems, including neoliberalism and the enshittification of services.
- Warns of the potential for widespread agricultural collapse, nuclear war, and financial system failures.
- Concludes that 2025 is a pivotal year, marking the end of the fossil fuel economy and the beginning of a new era.