Hasty Briefsbeta

Endogenous Automation Will Hit You

a day ago
  • #Wage Share
  • #Automation
  • #AI Economics
  • Humans lose wage share when all tasks are automated and there's an upper bound on task complexity (Scenario b).
  • In an unbounded complexity scenario (Scenario a), humans retain wage share as there are always tasks beyond automation.
  • Recent literature suggests innovation recombines basic brain functions into new tasks rather than creating entirely new ones.
  • Human augmentation and differential co-evolution with AI could help maintain wage share by increasing human capability.
  • Societal choices to retain certain jobs as exclusively human (Scenario d) may preserve wages but at the cost of economic growth.
  • Endogenous automation presents a feedback loop where economic incentives to automate persist as long as humans earn wages.
  • Gradual disempowerment scenarios highlight the need to rethink income-labor ties in the face of advancing AI.