1929: Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History
3 days ago
- #economic history
- #financial crises
- #AI bubble
- The AI bubble is unique in that it is openly acknowledged by investors and technologists, unlike past bubbles which were often denied.
- Historical bubbles, like the dot-com bubble, often left behind useful infrastructure, but skeptics doubt AI will have the same lasting impact.
- Investment in AI is heavily focused on hardware like Nvidia chips, which may quickly become obsolete, raising concerns about the sustainability of the bubble.
- The rise of shadow finance and circular investment structures in AI could lead to systemic risks similar to those seen in the 2008 financial crisis.
- Andrew Ross Sorkin's work highlights the human drama behind financial crises, but critics argue it lacks deeper economic analysis.
- The 1929 crash was exacerbated by policy failures, including adherence to the gold standard and lack of fiscal stimulus, lessons that were partially learned by 2008.
- Modern financial regulation focuses on managing the aftermath of bubbles rather than preventing them, a strategy that may be insufficient for the AI bubble.
- The belief that bubbles are inevitable or even beneficial is a dangerous rationalization that could lead to future crises.