Routine Life-Course Health Records in Infancy Predict Being Overweight in Childhood and Adolescence: The TMM BirThree Cohort Study - PubMed
7 hours ago
- #predictive model
- #early life-course health
- #childhood overweight
- Routine early life-course health records, such as maternal traits, birth weight, and body mass index changes from birth to 18-23 months, can predict being overweight in childhood and adolescence.
- A prediction model using multivariable logistic regression showed that being overweight at 18-23 months is a strong predictor of later overweight status at ages 36-47 months, 6 years, 11 years, and 14 years.
- The model demonstrated moderate to high discrimination for early and middle childhood (AUC up to 0.873) but modest performance for adolescence (AUC around 0.7), with stable results validated through cross-validation.
- Findings support the practical use of these records for early identification and preventive interventions against childhood overweight.