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A machine learning model based on routine blood-derived indices for early arterial stiffness prediction in the community - PubMed

4 hours ago
  • #cardiovascular risk
  • #arterial stiffness
  • #machine learning
  • Study developed a machine learning model for early arterial stiffness prediction using routine blood-derived indices.
  • Increased arterial stiffness is a high-risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, necessitating early identification.
  • 2948 community participants were enrolled in a cross-sectional study between June and December 2024.
  • 24 blood-derived indices from metabolic, lipid, and inflammatory domains were analyzed.
  • LASSO regression and logistic regression identified nine independent risk factors for arterial stiffness.
  • Random forest model and SHAP analysis highlighted key predictors like age, blood pressure, and TyG-WHtR.
  • The nomogram demonstrated excellent discrimination (AUC = 0.877) and good calibration.
  • A web-based calculator was developed for individualized risk estimation.
  • TyG-WHtR emerged as a key independent predictor of arterial stiffness.
  • The model offers a practical tool for early community-based screening of arterial stiffness.