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AI's Economics Don't Make Sense

4 hours ago
  • #Industry Critique
  • #AI Pricing
  • #Tech Economics
  • GitHub Copilot will switch to usage-based pricing on June 1, 2026, ending its flat-rate subscription model.
  • Microsoft claims the change is due to higher compute costs from AI advancements, but critics argue it was always economically unsustainable.
  • Historically, AI services like Copilot have been heavily subsidized, with users costing companies more per month than they paid.
  • The shift to token-based billing reveals the true expense of AI, where tasks like coding can cost $11 per request.
  • AI subscriptions are criticized as deceptive, hiding real costs and creating unsustainable user habits.
  • OpenAI and Anthropic face enormous financial commitments, needing hundreds of billions in revenue to cover compute contracts.
  • Data center economics are precarious, with projects like Oracle's Stargate Abilene relying on unproven AI demand.
  • Many AI companies are unprofitable, with questionable ROI, and may collapse if subsidies end and token billing becomes standard.
  • The AI industry is accused of being a con, built on obfuscated costs and exaggerated capabilities.
  • The future of AI depends on unrealistic growth projections, risking widespread financial fallout if demand doesn't materialize.