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Why Expanding Roads Fails to Reduce Traffic Congestion

6 hours ago
  • #urban-planning
  • #economics
  • #traffic-congestion
  • Expanding roads does not reduce traffic congestion due to induced demand.
  • The Fundamental Law of Road Congestion states that peak-hour traffic rises to meet maximum capacity.
  • Research by Duranton and Turner (2011) shows a 1% increase in lane kilometers leads to a 1.03% increase in vehicle-kilometers traveled (VKT).
  • Sources of increased VKT include commercial traffic (20-30%), individual behavior (9-39%), and minimal impact from migration or traffic diversion.
  • Public transit expansion does not reduce VKT, as induced demand fills any freed road space.
  • Congestion pricing is the only proven solution to reduce traffic congestion by internalizing external costs.
  • New York City's congestion pricing has successfully reduced commute times and pollution.