Day 1461 of Putin's Three-Day War
2 days ago
- #UkraineWar
- #MilitaryAnalysis
- #Russia
- Putin's invasion of Ukraine, initially expected to last only three days, has turned into a prolonged conflict nearing its fifth year.
- Ukrainian resistance, combined with Russian military incompetence and Western-supplied weapons, thwarted Russia's quick victory.
- Modern warfare dynamics, including drone swarms and extended kill zones, have led to a bloody stalemate on the ground.
- U.S. aid was crucial for Ukraine's survival in the early years, but restrictions on weapon use limited Ukraine's offensive capabilities.
- Under Trump's administration, U.S. aid to Ukraine has effectively been cut off, marking a significant policy shift.
- Europe has largely stepped in to replace lost U.S. aid, though challenges remain in military production and air defense systems.
- European economies supporting Ukraine are collectively much larger than Russia's, suggesting potential for sustained support.
- Russia's current strategy involves terror-bombing Ukraine, but historical precedent suggests this is unlikely to succeed.
- The war has exposed the limits of Russian military power, contrary to Putin's initial expectations.
- The outcome may hinge on Europe's continued support and Ukraine's growing arms production capabilities.