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Show HN: I built a 2-min quiz that shows you how bad you are at estimating

11 hours ago
  • #decision-making
  • #startup-tools
  • #analytics
  • Convexly is a decision analytics platform that helps track and improve decision-making by measuring calibration and providing feedback.
  • It calculates Brier Scores, where a lower score indicates better calibration, with 0.25 being chance level and most people scoring between 0.20 and 0.30.
  • Users can log decisions quickly, receive instant behavioral insights after three entries, and track outcomes to improve their judgment over time.
  • Pricing includes a free plan for up to 100 decisions and basic features, and a Pro plan with unlimited decisions, AI coaching, simulations, and advanced analytics.
  • Future roadmap features include SOC 2 compliance, calibration proof reports, Slack and Chrome integrations, a mobile app, portfolio views, and enterprise plans.
  • Data privacy is ensured with private-by-default decisions and row-level security, with options for public calibration stat sharing without exposing decision details.
  • The platform offers an AI-assisted 'Help Me Decide' tool to guide users through decision structuring and probabilistic modeling via natural conversation.