Diesel prices could crush Republicans in the heartland
3 hours ago
- Marist College poll shows Democrat Josh Turek leading by 8 points in Iowa's Senate race, but the Silver Bulletin average has a narrower 1.9-point lead.
- Unlike the 2024 Selzer outlier, the Marist poll aligns with broader Democratic strength since Labor Day, with Trump approval at a new low.
- Democratic polling overperformance is strongest in rural, agricultural, and energy-producing states like Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska.
- Recent gas and diesel price spikes, especially diesel up 77% nationally, are hurting consumers in the heartland, where diesel is crucial for farming and heating.
- The combined gasoline and diesel price shock is highest in farm states with competitive Senate races, explaining Democrats' stronger polling in those areas.