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Breaking news, and how the end might begin

13 hours ago
  • The AI boom may collapse if a key company, such as OpenAI, fails financially due to burning cash, losing market share, and making unsustainable commitments, triggering a tidal wave of consequences across the tech industry.
  • Tokenmaxxing, the all-you-can-eat pricing model for LLMs, has died as companies shift to more expensive token-based pricing, leading to revenue loss and IPO challenges.
  • Banks' refusal to accept OpenAI stock as collateral for a SoftBank loan indicates doubts about OpenAI's valuation, potentially hindering its IPO and risking a WeWork-like collapse.
  • OpenAI's collapse could cascade to major companies like Oracle and NVIDIA, affecting the banking system, retirement plans, and possibly requiring bailouts.
  • Core issues like reliability, factuality, and profitability remain unsolved for LLMs, suggesting the AI hype may be a bubble.