The Escalation of War in Ethiopia
5 hours ago
- Ethiopia is slipping into renewed war due to elite choices prioritizing war over peace, not inevitability.
- Structural drivers include ethnic federalism that reinforces ethnic divides and a state unable to deter rebellions.
- The Pretoria Agreement should be given a chance despite imperfections, as it ended large-scale fighting.
- Civilians bear the brunt of conflict, with the Tigray war death toll potentially as high as 600,000.
- Regional powers like Egypt, Eritrea, Sudan, and the UAE exploit Ethiopia's weakness, prolonging conflict.
- Honest conversations are needed on Ethiopian identity, self-determination, regional relations, and the positive case for unity.