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What I believe about the future of software development

5 hours ago
  • Code review will die as humans won't line-by-line review model-generated code.
  • Unit tests may become obsolete since models produce error-free code.
  • The craft of writing code will disappear, but building software to solve business problems becomes more critical.
  • Most bugs will shift from coding errors to incorrect requirements.
  • Open source loses relevance because artificial eyeballs now find bugs.
  • Human performance contributions are an edge case; models handle most optimization.
  • Terminal and CLI tools will be replaced by token-based interactions.
  • Tokens represent a new computing paradigm, moving beyond binary.
  • The PM/Design/Eng triad will dissolve; 'meat proxy' engineers become valueless.
  • The gap between large corporations and startups in software engineering will widen.
  • The concept of 'good code' is irrelevant for AI agents that will modify code.
  • Some people will be priced out of software production due to token costs.
  • Cheaper, smarter models will generate UI on the fly, reducing the need for traditional interfaces.
  • Transition to this future will take a generation, but traditional coding jobs will persist for a while.