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Welcome to the Dual State of AI Regulation

a day ago
  • #Dual State
  • #AI Regulation
  • #Trump Administration
  • The U.S. government reversed export controls on Anthropic's Fable model after negotiations, reinstating public access, though the reasons remain undisclosed.
  • The Trump administration has established a non-public de facto licensing system for frontier AI models, as seen with OpenAI's limited rollout of ChatGPT 5.6.
  • The 'dual state' concept describes two coexisting systems: the normative state (governed by laws) and the prerogative state (characterized by lawlessness and arbitrariness).
  • The Trump administration's dual state involves secrecy, corruption, and retaliation, impacting areas like immigration enforcement and AI governance.
  • In AI regulation, the prerogative state allows for actions without transparency, such as potentially punitive measures against companies like Anthropic.
  • Anthropic and other AI companies face vulnerability in dealings with the government, lacking leverage against tools like export controls and regulatory roadblocks.
  • When analyzing AI governance under the Trump administration, it's crucial to consider both the normative and prerogative states, as the latter significantly influences policy.