- Almost no climate scientist believes the 1.5°C target from the Paris Agreement is still achievable.
- The carbon budget would require halving emissions by 2030, but new oil and gas projects keep being approved.
- IPCC models rely on carbon removal technology that does not exist at industrial scale.
- Net zero targets depend on dubious carbon credits and tree planting, which are ineffective as forests burn in heatwaves.
- Tipping points like permafrost methane release create uncontrollable feedback loops.
- The scientific consensus has shifted from chasing the 1.5°C goal to focusing on adaptation and saving every fraction of a degree.