future

<antirez>

2 months ago

AI systems, despite their flaws, have achieved tasks like language understanding, programming, and bug detection that were science fiction years ago.
Deep learning models, including LLMs, are poorly understood, and even experts have repeatedly failed to predict progress accurately.
Future progress may plateau, but such a plateau could trigger massive research into new architectures.
If AI becomes significantly more capable and independent, it would represent a unique revolution unlike past technological booms.
Economic markets are treating AI like previous tech booms, but the possibility of mass worker replacement could severely stress the economic system.
Companies may rely on internal AI, reducing demand for external services, and a concentration of AI power in a few firms is unlikely to be sustainable.
AI might force a fundamental economic system change, potentially reducing prosperity, but markets continue to rise despite uncertainty and global instability.
Historical institutions that seemed permanent have been eradicated by fundamental societal changes, and AI could be such a change.