- The unemployment rate for recent college graduates has risen to 5.8%, while even elite MBA graduates struggle to find work.
- The labor market for young workers has not fully recovered from the Great Recession and pandemic, with white-collar industries like tech, consulting, and finance hit hard.
- The value of a college degree may be declining, as the earnings gap with high-school graduates stopped widening after 2010 and fewer job postings require a degree.
- AI could be replacing entry-level white-collar tasks, such as synthesizing information and creating reports, potentially reducing demand for young graduates.
- The 'recent-grad gap'—the difference between young graduate unemployment and overall unemployment—hit an all-time low, signaling a deteriorating market.
- Alternative explanations include firms prioritizing profit margins over training entry-level workers and AI infrastructure crowding out hiring budgets.