Some animated Dutch COVID-19 Figures - Bert Hubert's writings
a day ago
- The author created an animation of Dutch COVID-19 figures using the 'date of onset' field to reduce the impact of testing delays.
- The data uses 7-day smoothed daily positive test numbers to effectively remove weekend effects.
- Week-on-week growth was 60% at the end of September, after which the daily growth rate dropped.
- Part of the decrease is attributed to the latency between symptom onset and positive test results, with the point shifting right over nine days of data.
- Another part of the decrease may be real, and the animation shows how the growth rate develops over time as more data arrives.
- When the three lines (current, one-day-old, two-day-old) are close together, the growth rate for that date is considered settled.